The Modern Investor
Written by Human Advisors, for Human Investors
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HOUSING: Three Trends to Watch
From 2019 through 2021, over $6 trillion in home loans were refinanced at ultra-low rates. Cheap money has many homeowners feeling trapped. Zillow just reported half of buyers surveyed between April and July were first-time homeowners, further evidence existing owners are staying put. With existing supply depressed, new construction is attempting to fill the void.
Three Things About Higher Rates
Interest rates on bonds haven’t been this high in about 15 years. Whether you consider this to be good or bad news may depend on your perspective. Higher rates generally offer a better starting point for bond investors, and high-quality bonds may be in a better position to offset other risks in your portfolio. Stock investors traditionally have been willing to pay less (in terms of P/E multiples, for example) for expected earnings as interest rates rise, which can put pressure on stock returns. Regardless, history has seemed to reward stock owners over the long term, even in periods characterized by higher interest rates.
The Fed Might Be Finished Raising Rates. Should You Sell Stocks?
Should you sell stocks if the Fed is finished raising rates? Here are a few things you may want to consider.
Is My Home Next?
Planning for the Inevitable
The Good, The Bad, and The Ugly: Interest Rates Edition
Recession? When, not if.
How we think about the next recession.