The Modern Investor

Investors React to Election with Big Stock Market Gains. What Can We Learn from the Previous Election?
Investing Eric Blattner Investing Eric Blattner

Investors React to Election with Big Stock Market Gains. What Can We Learn from the Previous Election?

The U.S. stock market responded to Tuesday’s election with big gains. International stocks fell, as did bonds. What does this mean, if anything, about what we can expect for the next four years?

We looked at how markets behaved following 2020’s election. Keep in mind, our economy is complex and markets react to a wide variety of inputs. Elections and government leadership are just part of the puzzle.

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Looking Past the S&P 500: Is Everything at All-Time Highs?
Investing Eric Blattner Investing Eric Blattner

Looking Past the S&P 500: Is Everything at All-Time Highs?

If you are reading this, the odds are high that you don’t have 100% of your investable assets in an index fund tracking the S&P 500. You probably own other types of investments. So, what about smaller companies? Or foreign companies? Or other asset classes? Are they also at all-time highs? It turns out other pockets have not participated in this run, at least not to the same degree.

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Small Companies. Small Returns?
Investing, Stocks Eric Blattner Investing, Stocks Eric Blattner

Small Companies. Small Returns?

Traditional theory suggests investors should earn higher returns in riskier investments, like small caps. However, small cap stocks have underperformed large caps for more than a decade. And they have even underperformed bigger, more stable stocks since the late 1970s. Which begs the question: why own smaller, riskier companies if we aren’t earning higher returns?

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Three Things About Higher Rates
Economy, Bonds, Stocks Eric Blattner Economy, Bonds, Stocks Eric Blattner

Three Things About Higher Rates

Interest rates on bonds haven’t been this high in about 15 years. Whether you consider this to be good or bad news may depend on your perspective. Higher rates generally offer a better starting point for bond investors, and high-quality bonds may be in a better position to offset other risks in your portfolio. Stock investors traditionally have been willing to pay less (in terms of P/E multiples, for example) for expected earnings as interest rates rise, which can put pressure on stock returns. Regardless, history has seemed to reward stock owners over the long term, even in periods characterized by higher interest rates.

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The Most Boring Market Update Ever?
Stocks, Bonds Eric Blattner Stocks, Bonds Eric Blattner

The Most Boring Market Update Ever?

It’s mid-July, which means firms like ours have been busy publishing quarterly recaps and market outlooks for the remainder of the year. How it would sound if we focused not on the last 90 days, but rather recapped the last 10 years. After all, we constantly talk about long-term investing, so why not write commentary to match?

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