The Modern Investor
Written by Human Advisors, for Human Investors
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Where Will Interest Rates Go Next?
There was a 50% chance rates would be cut by 1.5% this year, all the way to the 3.50% to 3.75% range.
At the same time, the idea of rates remaining high (or even rising) seemed improbable, to say the least. Fast forward to today. The current odds that the lower end of the Fed Funds target range will be 5.0% or higher by the end of the year is basically a 1-to-1 coin flip.
Consider this another example of just how quickly expectations about interest rates can change.
Looking Past the S&P 500: Is Everything at All-Time Highs?
If you are reading this, the odds are high that you don’t have 100% of your investable assets in an index fund tracking the S&P 500. You probably own other types of investments. So, what about smaller companies? Or foreign companies? Or other asset classes? Are they also at all-time highs? It turns out other pockets have not participated in this run, at least not to the same degree.
The Most Boring Market Update Ever?
It’s mid-July, which means firms like ours have been busy publishing quarterly recaps and market outlooks for the remainder of the year. How it would sound if we focused not on the last 90 days, but rather recapped the last 10 years. After all, we constantly talk about long-term investing, so why not write commentary to match?